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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 30th, 2023

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  • Risk assessment is probability and severity. The probability can be vanishingly low, but if the severity is astoundingly high then acting like a high risk situation could be appropriate.

    Take asteroids. The last planet killer to hit us was 94million years ago. A rudimentary estimate could put the probably as 1:94mil. The severity of an asteroid impact of that magnitude is off the charts, so it is reasonable to consider it a risk and act accordingly to spend resources to search for and track asteroid trajectories.

    The severity of abduction, murder, and rape is probably pretty high for most people, so considering it a risk even with a very small probability is not unreasonable.











  • Trump helps Chinas foreign policy so much. Their goal for decades has been to spread soft power and influence. They’ve been very effective even before Trump. What China is able to provide now is stability. The chaos that Trump sows drives nations away from the USA sphere of influence into the Chinese sphere. All they have to do is not rock the boat, do what they say they’re going to do, and let the US do the advertising for them.

    It’s very sad to see an authoritarian state be the bastian of hope for developing nations. It feels like the democratic experiment has failed and authoritarianism is taking control worldwide.