His model actually accounts for whether polls were taken before or after an event, and raises and lowers their impact and error margin based on that. Right up to the debate, his model was giving Kamala a <30% chance and it’s only the inclusion of new polls since the debate that have moved her to 50%.

I mean, that makes me even more skeptical. 108 volunteers tracked for that many sparesely populated vectors is 100% going to have hundreds of false positives just due to statistical noise.

First game I’ve 100% in a long time. I absolutely loved this game.

I’m going to use this as an excuse to go back and play Hades 1. I bought and binged it when it first released EA, and never went back to play the released version.

I have a PSN account. I can’t ethically support this move that locked so many players out 4 months after buying a game. So I won’t be buying until at minimum a solution is in place for all those users, but probably not even then.

As a spouse of someone who suffers from ARFID, I just wanted to pass along that there are those out there who understand the extreme suffering it can cause and recognize that the condition is not a choice you are making. She went most of her life undiagnosed and getting the diagnosis was so incredibly validating because it showed what she was experiencing was beyond her control. We wish you the best.

Seriously. I’ve never had a game pump adrenaline for me like Tarkov. Combined with the fact that over hundreds of hours of play in a wipe, I still feel like I’m making long term progress in every raid is just addicting. The core gameplay loop is just fun.

Give me a good dev who respect their players who can give me these things and there goes years of my gaming time.

I love Roguelikes. I love FPS. Tarkov is my favorite game, but damn does it squander it’s potential.

The distribution itself shouldn’t cause a large drop in the per share price since the market is aware of this coming and would view it as a high probability of happening based on current prices. Otherwise this would be the easiest short term short ever.

Its too jarring in the middle for users of Dark Mode. I’ve used your app and paid for premium on reddit. I haven’t here because the price to value isn’t there compared to other options at its current price point. I’ve been using your lemmy app since it released but this ad change had me immediately switch.

He mentions looking into contractors which is basically exactly this. Going through a 3rd party can make that process easier for short term needs, which is what he is saying the current situation might be.

Your first comment made it sound like they are hitting you on purpose. This comment makes it sound more like the infrastructure is not conductive to cycling and therefore it’s dangerous to cycle in your area. I grew up in northeast Cincinnati and am an avid cyclist, and the second comment lines up with my experience while the first, that reads as if people are actively trying to hit you, doesn’t line up with my experience. I think that is why you are getting down voted.

It depends on what you feel about the future of technology. Most productivity growth comes from advances in technology. We haven’t hit a maximum yet, so it’s a question of if you think technology will or won’t enable us to do more in the same amount of time for the indefinite future.

Constant productivity growth could allow it without constant population growth, as long as products growth exceeds impacts from population decline. This report is basically saying they don’t see that happening.

Just got a steam deck and love it. I also got the official dock and can’t believe how bad it is. I have to unplug it and my TV half the time to get the dock to connect correctly. It works fine for a few days, then stops. I’ve had picture issues and audio issues and even issues with the deck right after disconnecting it.

Just got one too! I tried right at launch time, eventually got locked out for too many purchase attempts while their servers were failing and had to go back to work. On whim, tried again 15 minutes ago and was able to get one shipping in 2~4 weeks. Soooo happy!

Even if the cost was an impossibly low 10% of MSRP, that’s still $30 trillion dollars based on the math above and well more than he has.